{"id":190,"date":"2021-08-04T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-08-04T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/how-to-determine-if-youre-on-track-for-your-age\/"},"modified":"2025-09-05T16:58:56","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T16:58:56","slug":"how-to-determine-if-youre-on-track-for-your-age","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/how-to-determine-if-youre-on-track-for-your-age\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Determine if You\u2019re on Track for Your Age"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/unsplash-image-dnL6ZIpht2s.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"sqs-html-content\" data-sqsp-text-block-content>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">About six months ago, I wrote a post titled \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneywithkatie.com\/blog\/how-to-know-if-youre-behind-and-what-that-means\" target=\"_blank\">How to Determine if You\u2019re Behind<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">To save you the trouble in case you\u2019re short on time, the moral of the story was this: To know if you\u2019re \u201cbehind\u201d financially, you have to know where you\u2019re trying to go. Someone with $1 million who needs $2 million to retire and wants to retire next year is, by definition, behind.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Someone who has $50,000 to their name but doesn\u2019t want to retire for 40 more years likely isn\u2019t \u201cbehind,\u201d despite having $950,000 less than the person with $1 million.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">The point? We\u2019re all trucking toward different finish lines, to some degree, so there is no singular benchmark against which we can measure ourselves.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">That said, I started to wonder if there\u2019s a sort of benchmark we <em>could<\/em> use that would tell us how we\u2019re doing\u2014surely there\u2019s got to be some sort of equation or rule of thumb we can use, right?<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">When I started working, my dad told me you should have your salary saved by the time you turn 30 (meaning, if you make $50,000 per year, by age 30, you should have $50,000 saved).<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">I\u2019m not sure where that advice came from, but I think I figured out how someone landed on it:<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Someone who makes $50,000 per year after taxes in their first job at 22 would have 8 years to reach 30. Assuming they earn an average of a 5% raise every year, their salary range would look like this:<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">22: $50,000&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">23: $52,500<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">24: $55,125<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">25: $57,881<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">26: $60,775<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">27: $63,813<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">28: $67,003<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">29: $70,353<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">30: $73,870<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">One point of clarification that jumped out at me immediately? It\u2019s unlikely someone would have the same salary at age 30 as they do at 22 when they\u2019re just starting out. <em>Should you have your 22-year-old salary saved by the time you\u2019re 30? Or your 30-year-old salary?<\/em> <\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">In other words, am I gunning for $50,000, or $73,870? It becomes a moving target as I make more money.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">What if someone makes $50,000 per year for 7 years and then suddenly gets a giant, overdue raise when they\u2019re 29 (or switches careers) and jumps up to, say, $150,000? <\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Should that person who <em>didn\u2019t <\/em>earn<em> <\/em>anywhere near their 30-year-old salary for the majority of their twenties still be expected to have saved enough to match it?&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">The bottom line is that this rule of thumb doesn\u2019t work very well <em>for the way real life works.<\/em> <\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">There are too many variables at play, especially specific to the way people earn and how salaries progress unevenly sometimes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">That said, I wanted to understand how this conventional rule of thumb arrived at the number it did to reverse-engineer the <strong>save rate<\/strong> it\u2019s suggesting is sufficient.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Assuming \u201chave your salary saved by the time you\u2019re 30\u201d <em>does<\/em>, in fact, mean your 30-year-old salary, this hypothetical #RichGirl above would have to have $73,870 saved by the time she\u2019s 30.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">That means her average save rate would\u2019ve been about 13.5%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/HowtoDetermineA.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"sqs-html-content\" data-sqsp-text-block-content>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Interestingly enough, 13% was the average American save rate during the pandemic (which was an increase from the \u201cregular\u201d average, which was between 6-8%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Following this rule of thumb, you\u2019d likely be dubbed good-to-go if you saved approximately 13% of your income each year.&nbsp;Compared to the average American in the average year, you\u2019re doing double duty! Good for you, Sally Saver.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">The problem? 13% is nowhere near enough if you want to retire pretty much any time before you\u2019re old and gray.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">The Magic Math behind retirement is simple:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">You have a 96% chance of retirement success (historically) by withdrawing 4.25% of your total assets each year, once you\u2019ve invested 25x your annual expenses (per Bill Bengen\u2019s 4% rule research in the 1990s, later validated by researchers at Trinity University, though it has been called into question recently).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Let\u2019s make that real, because if this is new to you, your eyes probably just glazed over.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">To keep rolling with our example earner above, in the year she earned $63,813 and saved 13%, that means she <em>spent<\/em> about $55,000.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Let\u2019s say that person always needs about $55,000 to live. In order for her investments to support that level of spending, she\u2019d need to have:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$55,000 * 25 = $1,375,000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">(That is, in <em>today\u2019s<\/em> dollars. Remember, you have to adjust this shit for inflation.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">With an average of a 13% save rate\u2014assuming that rate stays consistent over time\u2014it would take about 45 years of saving 13% of your income to be able to replace your spending using investment returns.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">While this sounds like a literal eternity to me, it does confirm my initial assumptions about where that \u201cyour salary by age 30\u201d came from:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Starting work at age 22 + 45 more years of working = retiring at 67. A 13% save rate means you can retire at 67, theoretically, which is pretty in-line with \u201ctraditional\u201d retirement planning.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">If you flesh out each year of this hypothetical person\u2019s life, having their salary saved by age 30 would mean they\u2019re right on track.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">But I don\u2019t really know anyone who wants to work until they\u2019re 67<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">At least, not doing the same thing they\u2019re doing at 25.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Even if you\u2019re not into the idea of retiring at 35 and spending all your time reading in a park and sipping wine coolers like I am, you\u2019re probably hoping to walk away from your corporate 9-5 job before you qualify for Medicare.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">In my mind, there\u2019s no \u201cone track\u201d\u2014my plan is simple. When people ask me how much they should be saving, I think the simplest, best answer is:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">As much as you possibly can while still enjoying yourself.&nbsp;<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\"><strong>As much as you possibly can<\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">That means I don\u2019t obsess over maintaining a certain save rate. I just do my best to increase the margin between (a) what I\u2019m earning and (b) what I\u2019m spending every month in some way, whether that be through earning more or spending less.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">But for the sake of this blog post\u2014because I know you came here for a pithy equation that would assign you a \u201cgrade\u201d the way the American education system has brainwashed us to crave\u2014I\u2019d say the ideal save rate we should all be <em>striving <\/em>for is 50%.&nbsp;Why? A 50% save rate makes you pretty much infallible, because for every year you work, you buy yourself a year of freedom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Spend half, save half. At a 50% save rate, you can retire in roughly 17 years flat (age 39 or so, if beginning around 22).&nbsp;That\u2019s not to say you\u2019d <em>have<\/em> to retire, just that the decision would be yours to make: And who doesn\u2019t want to be in control of how they\u2019re spending their time?<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Now, obviously that doesn\u2019t account for inflation or the way people actually earn and spend\u2014so use it as a benchmark. A goal! The takeaway is that you\u2019re comparing a 45-year working life vs. a 17-year working life. Check out the difference:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/HowtoDetermineB.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"sqs-html-content\" data-sqsp-text-block-content>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Now, the person would have $275,000 at age 30, instead of $73,000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">And while this nice, neat salary progression lends itself to easy percentages, I know firsthand that salary progression can be quite messy. I\u2019ve earned anywhere from $52,000 per year to $250,000 per year in the last five years, depending on how much I\u2019m working (and for whom). <\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">If you were to tell me I needed 5x my current salary by the time I\u2019m 30, I don\u2019t think I could do it, because there\u2019s no guarantee my earning potential stays on the same path. So instead of making generalizations about 1x, 2x, 3x your salary, etc., I think the better path is this:<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">How to make this determination for yourself: An exercise<\/h1>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Write down the amount you\u2019ve earned each year until today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Add the numbers up.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Multiply by 80% (0.8) to determine your (rough, approximate) post-tax income.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Divide <em>that<\/em> number in half.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\"><em>That\u2019s<\/em> the number you\u2019d want to have saved (50% of your post-tax income).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Mine would look like this:<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$52,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$60,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$72,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$100,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$170,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">= $454,000<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$454,000 * 80% = $363,200<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">$363,200 \/ 2 = $181,600<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">I <em>should<\/em> have $181,600 if I\u2019m on the \u201c50% save rate\u201d train. Thanks to the magic of compounding, as of the time of this writing, I\u2019m good to go. <\/p>\n<h2 style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">So maybe the real moral of the story is, investing can supercharge this entire equation.<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">I always recommend Betterment for investing because they\u2019ll basically do it for you. There\u2019s really no catch. As long as you can dump money into the accounts, you\u2019re done.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"white-space:pre-wrap;\">Of course, knowing how much you <em>can<\/em> invest every month depends heavily on your income and spending. Check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/education.morningbrew.com\/budget\" target=\"_blank\">Budget Like a Millionaire Masterclass<\/a> if you\u2019d like your hand held through creating the strongest foundation possible. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>About six months ago, I wrote a post titled \u201cHow to Determine if You\u2019re Behind.\u201d To save you the trouble in case you\u2019re short on time, the moral of the story was this: To know if you\u2019re \u201cbehind\u201d financially, you have to know where you\u2019re trying to go. Someone with $1 million who needs $2 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":178814,"featured_media":2434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"si-template-single-post-income.php","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[40,44],"class_list":["post-190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financial-independence","tag-income","tag-taxable-investing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How to Determine if You\u2019re on Track for Your Age - Money with Katie<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/moneywithkatie.com\/how-to-determine-if-youre-on-track-for-your-age\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How to Determine if You\u2019re on Track for Your Age - Money with Katie\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"About six months ago, I wrote a post titled \u201cHow to Determine if You\u2019re Behind.\u201d To save you the trouble in case you\u2019re short on time, the moral of the story was this: To know if you\u2019re \u201cbehind\u201d financially, you have to know where you\u2019re trying to go. 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